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Quarterly GDP for Ireland since 1950

  • Seán Kenny
  • , Rebecca Stuart
  • Queen's University Belfast
  • University of Neuchatel
  • CEPR
  • Zurich University of Applied Sciences

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We construct estimates of quarterly GDP (and GNP) for Ireland from 1950, linking to official data from 1995 onward, using a novel factor-augmented Chow-Lin interpolation. Compared to the only alternative series (OECD, 2025), our estimates exploit the variation in a large number of official quarterly economic data and are broadly consistent with contemporary reports. Our series permits a more granular identification of turning points in the Irish economy than was previously possible. The frequency and magnitude of quarterly contractions in the 1950s and 1980s dwarfed those of other decades resulting in lower average growth rates. In contrast, the 1990s are confirmed as a decisive period of higher growth and rapid convergence.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101766
Pages (from-to)1-20
JournalExplorations in Economic History
Volume101
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 11 May 2026

Keywords

  • Chow-Lin interpolation
  • Economic growth
  • Factors
  • Irish quarterly GDP
  • Principal components
  • [CUBS]

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