Significance testing, p-values and the principle of total evidence

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Abstract

The paper examines the claim that significance testing violates the Principle of Total Evidence (PTE). I argue that p-values violate PTE for two-sided tests but satisfy PTE for one-sided tests invoking a sufficient test statistic independent of the preferred theory of evidence. While the focus of the paper is to evaluate a particular claim about the relationship of significance testing and PTE, I clarify the reading of this methodological principle along the way.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)281-295
Number of pages15
JournalEuropean Journal for Philosophy of Science
Volume6
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 May 2016
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Bayes
  • Error statistics
  • Evidence
  • Law of likelihood
  • p-values
  • Principle of total evidence
  • Significance testing

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