The Evolutionary History of the Extinct Baltic Sea Harp Seal Population

The now-extinct harp seal population that inhabited the Baltic Sea from the Mesolithic to the Iron Age is an enigma. It occurred outside the species' contemporary Arctic range, likely deviated from typical harp seal migratory behaviour, and experienced body size reductions and dramatic population fluctuations leading up to its extinction. Here we use ancient DNA analyses to shed more light on the evolutionary history of the Baltic Sea harp seal population, including its origin, timing of colonisation, diversity and factors contributing to its demise. We generated 49 ancient Baltic and eight ancient Arctic harp seal mitogenomes, which we analysed together with 53 contemporary Arctic harp seal mitogenomes. We detected limited phylogeographic resolution among ancient and contemporary populations, which we interpret as a late Pleistocene range expansion from a common refugial population with subsequent gene flow. Ancient Baltic harp seals were significantly genetically differentiated from contemporary harp seal populations and retained their own genetic composition throughout time. The genetic diversity of Baltic harp seals decreased over time, yet was comparable to that of contemporary populations. This suggests that Baltic harp seals formed a distinct breeding population, which may occasionally have received immigrants from the Arctic but was itself confined in the Baltic Sea until the end. We hypothesise that loss of genetic diversity and the ultimate extinction of the Baltic harp seal population was a consequence of population fluctuations caused by climatic change, reduced salinity and biological productivity, and periodic intense human harvest.