The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review

Paul D L Ritchie; Norman J Steinert; Jesse F Abrams; Hassan Alkhayuon; Constantin W Arnscheidt; Nils Bochow; Ruth R Chapman; Joseph Clarke; Donovan P Dennis; Jonathan F Donges; Bernardo M Flores; Julius Garbe; Annika Högner; Chris Huntingford; Timothy M Lenton; Johannes Lohmann; Kerstin Lux-Gottschalk; Manjana Milkoreit; Tessa Möller; Paul Pearce-Kelly; Laura Pereira; Courtney Quinn; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner; Simone M Stuenzi; Didier Swingedouw; Larissa N Van der Laan; Kirsten Zickfeld; Nico Wunderling

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad

The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review

Paul D L Ritchie
, Norman J Steinert
, Jesse F Abrams
, Hassan Alkhayuon
, Constantin W Arnscheidt
, Nils Bochow
, Ruth R Chapman
, Joseph Clarke
, Donovan P Dennis
, Jonathan F Donges
, Bernardo M Flores
, Julius Garbe
, Annika Högner
, Chris Huntingford
, Timothy M Lenton
, Johannes Lohmann
, Kerstin Lux-Gottschalk
, Manjana Milkoreit
, Tessa Möller
, Paul Pearce-Kelly

Laura Pereira, Courtney Quinn, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Simone M Stuenzi, Didier Swingedouw, Larissa N Van der Laan, Kirsten Zickfeld, Nico Wunderling

School of Mathematical Sciences

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Original language	English
Journal	Environmental Research Letters
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad
Publication status	Published - 14 Feb 2026

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SDG 13 Climate Action

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Sustainability Institute

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10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad

Cite this

Ritchie, P. D. L., Steinert, N. J., Abrams, J. F., Alkhayuon, H., Arnscheidt, C. W., Bochow, N., Chapman, R. R., Clarke, J., Dennis, D. P., Donges, J. F., Flores, B. M., Garbe, J., Högner, A., Huntingford, C., Lenton, T. M., Lohmann, J., Lux-Gottschalk, K., Milkoreit, M., Möller, T., ... Wunderling, N. (2026). The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad

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title = "The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review",

author = "Ritchie, \{Paul D L\} and Steinert, \{Norman J\} and Abrams, \{Jesse F\} and Hassan Alkhayuon and Arnscheidt, \{Constantin W\} and Nils Bochow and Chapman, \{Ruth R\} and Joseph Clarke and Dennis, \{Donovan P\} and Donges, \{Jonathan F\} and Flores, \{Bernardo M\} and Julius Garbe and Annika H{\"o}gner and Chris Huntingford and Lenton, \{Timothy M\} and Johannes Lohmann and Kerstin Lux-Gottschalk and Manjana Milkoreit and Tessa M{\"o}ller and Paul Pearce-Kelly and Laura Pereira and Courtney Quinn and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner and Stuenzi, \{Simone M\} and Didier Swingedouw and \{der Laan\}, \{Larissa N Van\} and Kirsten Zickfeld and Nico Wunderling",

year = "2026",

month = feb,

day = "14",

doi = "10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad",

language = "English",

journal = "Environmental Research Letters",

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}

Ritchie, PDL, Steinert, NJ, Abrams, JF, Alkhayuon, H, Arnscheidt, CW, Bochow, N, Chapman, RR, Clarke, J, Dennis, DP, Donges, JF, Flores, BM, Garbe, J, Högner, A, Huntingford, C, Lenton, TM, Lohmann, J, Lux-Gottschalk, K, Milkoreit, M, Möller, T, Pearce-Kelly, P, Pereira, L, Quinn, C, Schleussner, C-F, Stuenzi, SM, Swingedouw, D, der Laan, LNV, Zickfeld, K & Wunderling, N 2026, 'The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review', Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad

TY - JOUR

T1 - The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review

AU - Ritchie, Paul D L

AU - Steinert, Norman J

AU - Abrams, Jesse F

AU - Alkhayuon, Hassan

AU - Arnscheidt, Constantin W

AU - Bochow, Nils

AU - Chapman, Ruth R

AU - Clarke, Joseph

AU - Dennis, Donovan P

AU - Donges, Jonathan F

AU - Flores, Bernardo M

AU - Garbe, Julius

AU - Högner, Annika

AU - Huntingford, Chris

AU - Lenton, Timothy M

AU - Lohmann, Johannes

AU - Lux-Gottschalk, Kerstin

AU - Milkoreit, Manjana

AU - Möller, Tessa

AU - Pearce-Kelly, Paul

AU - Pereira, Laura

AU - Quinn, Courtney

AU - Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich

AU - Stuenzi, Simone M

AU - Swingedouw, Didier

AU - der Laan, Larissa N Van

AU - Zickfeld, Kirsten

AU - Wunderling, Nico

PY - 2026/2/14

Y1 - 2026/2/14

UR - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad

U2 - 10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad

DO - 10.1088/1748-9326/ae3cad

M3 - Article

SN - 1748-9326

JO - Environmental Research Letters

JF - Environmental Research Letters

ER -

The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review

UN SDGs

UCC Futures

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