The Prospects for Future Economic Growth in the Euro Area

  • Kieran McQuinn
  • , Karl Whelan

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

With a long-term projection of TFP growth of 0.2 per cent, a gradual decline in the work-age population and a static average workweek, we project a "baseline" average real GDP growth rate in the euro area of just 0.6 per cent over the next decade — even if the unemployment rate and investment share of GDP return to their pre-crisis levels by 2020.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)305-311
Number of pages7
JournalIntereconomics
Volume51
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Nov 2016
Externally publishedYes

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